Understanding Earth.
Improving Prediction.
Serving Society.

My work sits at the intersection ofEarth-system science, prediction, and real-world applications.I'm interested in understanding how signals that emerge in the ocean and atmosphere evolve, how predictable they are, and how that information can become useful before an event unfolds.

I'm particularly interested inclimate variability and prediction, from the weeks ahead to the coming seasons.

ENSO is one of the clearest examples of how large-scale changes in the climate system can influence weather patterns far beyond the tropical Pacific—but it is only part of the story.

A forecast is more than a number or a map. Its value comes from helping us understandwhat may happen, when it may happen, and what it could mean.

That is why I'm interested not only in producing forecasts, but also in communicating them clearly—including the uncertainty.

Through this website, I share observations, forecasts, research, data visualizations, scientific ideas, and occasional deep dives into things that I find interesting or useful.

Some will be highly technical. Others will be simple questions about something happening on Earth right now.

The common thread is curiosity—and the belief thatbetter Earth information can lead to better decisions.

Science is most useful when it can travel beyond the scientific community.

I regularly engage with media and broader audiences to discuss climate, Earth-system science, prediction, and emerging environmental risks.

I enjoy translating complex scientific ideas into something useful, understandable, and relevant beyond the research community.